Saturday, 29 August 2015

Greek default may set off a systematic failure of the banking system


News:

After a resounding no from Greeks to Europe's bailout program for the country, the European Union is dove into its most prominent political emergency. As European leaders meet at a crisis summit meeting to talk about the circumstance, European voices opposed to the position taken by Greece are hardening.

Remark:

Greece turned into the epicenter of Europe's obligation emergency after Wall Street imploded in 2008. With worldwide financial markets still reeling, Greece reported in October 2009 that it had been understating its deficiency figures for a considerable length of time, raising alarms about the soundness of Greek finances. By the spring of 2010, it was veering toward bankruptcy, which undermined to set off another financial emergency.

To turn away disaster, the supposed troika — the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission — issued the first of two international bailouts for Greece, which would in the long run add up to more than 240 billion euros. The bailouts accompanied cruel grimness terms, requiring profound budget cuts and steep tax increases. They likewise obliged Greece to update its economy by streamlining the government, ending tax evasion and making Greece an easier spot to work together. Therefore, Greece's obligation came to 175% of Gross domestic product and its unemployment rate shot up to around 26%–the most noteworthy in Europe. Greeks basically had enough and voted in Syriza's government.

Based on the foregoing, it is hard to perceive how Greece can remain in the euro money zone, and this is principally because of two reasons.

First, the Greek populace has overwhelmingly dismisses the brutal somberness recommendations advocated by Europe. Whilst Greeks would prefer not to leave the European Union, they certainly don't need their fortunes attached to a cash that prolongs grimness, slings the economy into discouragement and enhances the coffers of the rich loan bosses.

Second, the present obligation circumstance for the Greek economy is just unsustainable. The Greek individuals will not acknowledge a recommendation that increases the obligation trouble consequently for bailout cash. They have already cut down governments saw to be sympathetic to Europe. With further obligation payments because of the ECB and different loan bosses in the month of July, the tussle in the middle of Europe and Greece is just bound to increase. The question of how to spare Greece, wrangled for over five years, is the European Union's recurring bad dream.

Ramifications of a Greek exit from the Euro
The majority of this suggests that Greece is near exiting the euro money and this has a few ramifications.

The Greek circumstance, at the end of the day underscores the point that economic union of Europe is difficult to accomplish without political union. Different emergency, for example, the worldwide financial emergency in 2008, the present exile emergency and the conflict in Ukraine plentifully show the impediments of the European Union. Unless European nations surrender political sway and move towards the model of governance like the one in the US, the EU is damned.

In an all around joined world, the repercussions of a Greek exit perhaps felt past the shores of Greece. This is on the grounds that a portion of the biggest European nations like Germany, Italy, France and others have loaned intensely to Greece, and nobody genuinely knows the measure of the exposure of their banks to Greece. What further convolutes the photo is the interrelationship in the middle of American and English manages an account with their European counterparts. A Greek default may set off a systematic failure of the whole banking system and another worldwide credit crunch emergency may result.

At that point there is the issue of the Euro losing its value and trade between diverse European nations extremely impacted. For instance in Britain the UK Leader's Official Representative said, “The chancellor was talking in the House [of Commons] yesterday about the potential exit of Greece and how that presents serious economic risks and of course as part of that we take all steps to protect ourselves from such eventualities.” Countries like India far away from the crisis are anxious about the Greek situation and fear the flight of capital from India. “We will have to see how the euro moves now. We are closely monitoring the Greek situation. There could be some reaction on the Fed rate hike…Greece crisis might impact India indirectly,” said Finance Secretary Rajiv Mehrishi.

Populaces in other southern European nations like Italy, Spain, and Portugal are likewise tired of starkness projects directed by Germany and rich Northern European nations, and opposed high unemployment, economic stagnation. A Greek way out will give driving force to populist parties in these nations to push for a comparable way out setting off an infection impact, which will bring about the implosion of the EU.

On the off chance that Europe does not give obligation alleviation, then Russia may venture in to offer some type of help. In April 2015, the Kommersant Newspaper cited a mysterious Russian government source as stating: “We’re ready to consider the question of providing Greece discounts on gas: the price for it is tied to the cost of oil which has significantly fallen in recent months. We are also ready to discuss the possibility of granting Greece new loans. But here we, in turn, are interested in reciprocal moves – in particular, in Russia receiving particular assets in Greece.” Europe reacted angrily towards such reports. Martin Schulz, the president of the European Parliament, said on Saturday that it would be “unacceptable” if Mr Tsipras “jeopardised Europe’s common policy on Russia” in return for Kremlin aid. This will be a strategic coup for Putin and a reminder for the rest of Europe that Russia is here to stay despite sanctions and the protracted proxy war in Ukraine.

There is an essential lesson for Turkey's world class, which for a few reasons wants participation of the EU. On the off chance that Turkey had adhered to the gold currency and the accompanying Islamic principles, today it would have had a strong economy as well as a chance to bind together Cyprus under its control and set a case for European nations to follow its leadership. Moreover, Turkey and not Russia would be country that Europeans would swing to in this manner giving Ankara a more grounded role in shaping European issues.

Be that as it may, from the point of view of the Muslim world, which is gotten up to speed in a sharp neo-colonization drive spearheaded by America and her European associates the Greek catastrophe may give invaluable relief to the Muslim masses opposed to the exposed animosity of Western powers and their agent rulers in the Muslim world. This may additionally give enough breathing space and consolation for sincere components in the armed strengths of the Muslim world to support the establishment of the rightly guided Khilafah.

وَاللّهُ غَالِبٌ عَلَى أَمْرِهِ وَلَكِنَّ أَكْثَرَ النَّاسِ لاَ يَعْلَمُونَ

“And Allah is the master of His affair, but most people do not know.” (Qur'an Surat Yusuf: 21)

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